Ken Paxton Leads Over John Cornyn in Texas Senate Runoff Polls

Ken Paxton vs. John Cornyn: A Texas Senate Runoff Preview

Attorney General Ken Paxton is leading Senator John Cornyn in the Republican Senate runoff in Texas, a poll from Quantus Insights revealed. Neither candidate secured a majority last March, prompting a runoff that holds national attention. This contest will indicate Texas’s political direction and decide who faces Democrat James Talarico in November.

President Donald Trump’s recent endorsement of Paxton influences the race. Newsweek contacted Paxton’s team for comments, while Cornyn’s campaign declined to comment.

Quantus Insights Poll

According to Quantus Insights, Paxton has 52.7 percent, Cornyn has 43.4 percent, and 3.9 percent are undecided. Trump’s endorsement affects only 58.9 percent of voters, reflecting limited impact.

Paxton is popular among male, female, millennial, Gen Z, and white likely GOP voters. Cornyn, however, leads with Hispanic and Asian voters and ties with Paxton among Black voters. Rural areas show a preference for Paxton, while Cornyn finds support in urban zones. Both candidates actively encourage voters on social media, emphasizing the significance of each vote.

Social Media Engagement

Cornyn’s Message: “Tomorrow, Texas voters will make an important decision about the future of our state. I’m asking for your vote to keep delivering conservative results for Texas families.”

Paxton’s Urgency: “Vote with President Trump Tomorrow. The FINAL day to vote in the Republican runoff. If you’ve already voted, text your friends, call your family, and help get 5 more people to the polls. Every single vote matters. Let’s finish strong and WIN THIS! FIND YOUR POLLING LOCATION AT VOTETEXAS.GOV“

Trump has reiterated support for Paxton, hailing him as an excellent Attorney General. Despite prominent figures like Governor Greg Abbott staying neutral, Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick and Senator Ted Cruz remain silent, as reported by USA Today.

Polling Data Insights

The Quantus poll surveyed 1,018 likely Republican voters from May 21 to May 23, showing a margin of error of 3.5 percent.

Other Poll Results

A separate poll from Texas Southern University/YouGov indicates a close contest between Talarico and either Cornyn or Paxton. Cornyn leads Talarico by 1 percent, while Paxton and Talarico are tied. The survey gathered opinions from April 22 to May 6 among 1,223 likely voters.

Additionally, a Texas Public Opinion Research poll suggests Talarico may outperform both Paxton and Cornyn in direct contests. The figures show Talarico ahead against Cornyn and Paxton, with a margin of error of 3.3 percent, conducted from April 17 to April 20 among 1,018 voters.

Finally, a poll conducted last month by co/efficient displayed Paxton trailing Cornyn slightly, with 43 percent to Cornyn’s 44 percent. Among women, Paxton trails Cornyn, yet he has a slight lead among male voters. Cornyn maintains a significant lead among Hispanic voters. This poll surveyed 1,143 Republican voters, reporting a 3.07 percent error margin.