Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney recently spoke against Alberta’s upcoming vote on potential independence, likening it to Brexit, which he referred to as a possible ‘dangerous bluff.’
Danielle Smith, Alberta’s premier, announced a vote for October 19. The vote will decide if Alberta should remain in Canada or initiate legal actions for a binding referendum on secession. Carney compared this situation with his experience during Brexit when he was governor of the Bank of England in 2016. Britain voted to exit the European Union then, with Carney playing a crucial role in guiding the central bank.
“I saw firsthand what happened in the United Kingdom when the view was, ‘Vote for this, it’ll be soft and then we’ll negotiate, etc.,’” Carney said. “They’re still 10 years later trying to undo what people didn’t think they were voting for, but what they ended up having.”
Smith’s party, during the last provincial election, did not campaign on or mention a referendum. Carney highlighted the lack of democratic mandate for this move, emphasizing its adverse effect on attracting investments to Canada.
“Is it the democratic will of Albertans? Did they vote for this in the last provincial election? No, they didn’t. It wasn’t on the ballot paper,” Carney noted.
Although Smith supports Alberta’s stay in Canada, parallels are drawn to former British Prime Minister David Cameron’s position before the Brexit vote. Carney, meanwhile, focuses on advancing an oil pipeline from Alberta to the Pacific coast, addressing the longstanding concerns of Albertans who feel neglected by Ottawa in selling their vast oil resources to Asian markets.
“We have to be very careful about this. There’s a very strong positive case for Canada, a strong Alberta in a united Canada,” Carney stated. “I look forward to making that case with many, many other Albertans and Canadians over the course of the next 150 days.”
Danielle Smith responded to Carney’s remarks, asserting that the decision on Alberta’s separation rests solely with its residents.
“Albertans’ frustrations have been fueled by the last 10 years of disastrous policies from Ottawa under … Justin Trudeau,” Smith expressed in a statement, referring to the former prime minister. “I would also remind all Canadians that we should not dismiss the legitimate grievances of Albertans. Instead, we should focus on addressing these issues, restoring hope in Canada, and demonstrating that our country can work and is working.”

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