A Critical Governor’s Race in California

One of the most significant and contentious governor’s races in the country is reaching a crucial point in California. Voters are deciding on a successor for Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom, impacting the future of a state known both for progressive policies and criticism from former President Donald Trump.

California is the nation’s most populous state, supporting one of the globe’s largest economies. It is home to Hollywood influencers, Silicon Valley innovators, and Central Valley farmers. The race shifted dramatically in April when Representative Eric Swalwell, a key figure among establishment Democrats, left the race following allegations of sexual assault. Now, California uses a ‘jungle primary’ system initiated in 2010, where all candidates appear on the ballot. Voters will see the top two finishers advance to the general election, disregarding party affiliation.

Recent polls from mid-to-late May show Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton each securing about 20% of potential voter support. Democrat Tom Steyer also features prominently, with Republican Chad Bianco and Democrat Katie Porter further behind. None of the other candidates exceed single-digit support.

Among the 61 candidate ballot, attention and funds have primarily concentrated on those with established political records. Below are the leading contenders:

Xavier Becerra, Democrat

Becerra’s involvement in politics spans 35 years at both state and national levels. Appointed as California’s attorney general by former Governor Jerry Brown after Kamala Harris entered the U.S. Senate, he was known for challenging the Trump administration in court. Becerra later served as the Health and Human Services Secretary in President Joe Biden’s cabinet. While his political record attracts scrutiny, he has gathered support from multiple Democratic power structures, including significant unions and advocacy groups.

Steve Hilton, Republican

Boosted by Trump’s endorsement, Hilton gains Republican favor, although it poses potential difficulties in a state largely opposing Trump. A former Fox News host and advisor to British Prime Minister David Cameron, Hilton’s campaign emphasizes traditional conservative stances such as tax reduction and smaller government. He proposes exempting the first $100,000 of personal income from taxes and lowering gas prices.

Tom Steyer, Democrat

As a billionaire and hedge fund founder, Steyer’s substantial campaign spending underscores his presence in the race. Known for supporting Democratic causes, his push for Trump’s impeachment elevated his profile. Steyer campaigns as a progressive populist, criticizing corporate power and gaining support from groups aligned with Bernie Sanders.

Matt Mahan, Democrat

As San Jose’s mayor, Mahan adopts a moderate Democratic approach, advocating for innovation and practical problem-solving. Although popular among some in the tech sector, the contradiction of his support from tech elites and labor union skepticism reflects broader tensions. His campaign, launched as an outsider to Sacramento politics, focuses on issues like homelessness and crime.

Katie Porter, Democrat

Porter, a former college professor, is known for direct, accessible policy communication. Her anti-corporate stance and advocacy for common Californians against big interests emphasize her campaign. Despite successes, Porter’s leadership has faced criticism, exacerbated by leaked conflicts with staff.

Antonio Villaraigosa, Democrat

The former Los Angeles mayor and state Assembly speaker, Villaraigosa presents himself as a pragmatic centrist. A one-time union organizer, his lengthy absence from public office challenges his traction. His roots in Southern California politics provide an alternative to previous governors from the Bay Area.

Chad Bianco, Republican

Sheriff Bianco emphasizes his law enforcement experience and commitment to reducing crime and addressing homelessness. Known for his strong support of Trump, Bianco gained national attention through his controversial seizure of election materials. This action elevated his profile, particularly among Republican voters.